During the forecast days (May 13-19), there is a 99% chance of a Class C flare, a 95% chance of a Class M (R1-R2), and a 75% chance of a Class X (R3) flare, Shamakhi Astrophysical Observatory told APA.
Noted that there is a possibility that the electron flood with an energy of more than 2 MeV will be at a normal and moderate level, and a proton flood with an energy of more than 10 MeV will rise to the S1 level due to the ignitions in the 3664 area on May 10-12.
The speed of the solar wind is expected to decrease after May 14 due to the effects of successive Coronal Mass Ejections (CEMs). Additionally, there will be the effect of High Speed Coronal Hole Streams.
A strong (G3) geomagnetic storm is expected today, and a weak (G1) geomagnetic storm is expected tomorrow due to the expected TKA of the geomagnetic field and the additional effect of High Velocity Coronal Hole Streams.
